[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT73 KNHC 121501
SPFAT3
HURRICANE CHARLEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU AUG 12 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT SUN AUG 15 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

24.6N  83.1W      51  1  X  X 52   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X 16 16
28.0N  82.8W       X 35  1  1 37   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X 15 15
32.2N  81.2W       X  X 23  1 24   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X 14 14
MWCG 193N 814W    99  X  X  X 99   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X 11 11
MUCF 221N 805W    34  X  X  X 34   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  7  7
MUSN 216N 826W    74  X  X  X 74   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  5  5
MUHA 230N 824W    66  X  X  X 66   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  4  4
MUAN 219N 850W    11  X  X  X 11   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  3  3
MYGF 266N 787W     X  3  X  X  3   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  4  4
MARATHON FL       31  2  X  X 33   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  2  2
MIAMI FL           9  9  X  X 18   KEY WEST FL       45  X  X  X 45
W PALM BEACH FL    3 13  1  X 17   MARCO ISLAND FL   23 14  X  X 37
FT PIERCE FL       1 19  2  X 22   FT MYERS FL       12 25  X  X 37
COCOA BEACH FL     X 21  4  X 25   VENICE FL          5 34  X  X 39
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X 18 11  X 29   TAMPA FL           1 34  1  X 36
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  6 23  X 29   CEDAR KEY FL       X 26  7  X 33
SAVANNAH GA        X  X 23  2 25   ST MARKS FL        X  8 17  X 25
CHARLESTON SC      X  X 17  5 22   APALACHICOLA FL    X  9 12  X 21
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  9 11 20   PANAMA CITY FL     X  4 10  1 15
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  4 14 18   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  4  X  4
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  1 15 16   GULF 29N 85W       X 16  7  X 23
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X 14 14   GULF 29N 87W       X  3  2  X  5

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
C FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
D FROM  8AM SAT TO  8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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