[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT72 KNHC 121432
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT THU AUG 12 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT SUN AUG 15 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

37.5N  78.5W      30  5  X  X 35   NANTUCKET MA       X  5  3  X  8
44.0N  73.5W       X 16  4  X 20   HYANNIS MA         X  6  4  X 10
50.0N  68.5W       X  X 12  X 12   BOSTON MA          X  9  5  X 14
JACKSONVILLE FL   17  X  X  X 17   PORTLAND ME        X  7  8  X 15
SAVANNAH GA       44  X  X  X 44   BAR HARBOR ME      X  2  9  X 11
CHARLESTON SC     30  X  X  X 30   EASTPORT ME        X  1  7  X  8
MYRTLE BEACH SC   23  X  X  X 23   ST JOHN NB         X  X  6  X  6
WILMINGTON NC     17  X  X  X 17   MONCTON NB         X  X  5  X  5
MOREHEAD CITY NC   9  1  X  X 10   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  5  X  5
CAPE HATTERAS NC   5  2  X  X  7   HALIFAX NS         X  X  2  X  2
NORFOLK VA        13  7  X  X 20   CEDAR KEY FL       9  X  X  X  9
OCEAN CITY MD      5 14  X  X 19   ST MARKS FL       99  X  X  X 99
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   2 18  X  X 20   APALACHICOLA FL   99  X  X  X 99
NEW YORK CITY NY   X 18  1  X 19   PANAMA CITY FL    99  X  X  X 99
MONTAUK POINT NY   X 11  3  X 14   GULF 29N 85W      99  X  X  X 99
PROVIDENCE RI      X 10  4  X 14   GULF 29N 87W      99  X  X  X 99

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM FRI TO  7PM FRI
C FROM  7PM FRI TO  7AM SAT
D FROM  7AM SAT TO  7AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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