[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 242253
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242252
WVZ000-VAZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-250045-

Mesoscale Discussion 2105
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0552 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

Areas affected...Eastern KY/TN into southwest WV/western VA

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 681...

Valid 242252Z - 250045Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 681
continues.

SUMMARY...Some hail/wind threat continues with scattered storms this
evening.

DISCUSSION...Short-wave trough is ejecting across the OH Valley
early this evening and scattered strong/severe convection continues
within the warm-advection zone, well ahead of the front. Over the
last few hours, greatest concentration of robust, long-lived
updrafts/supercells is beneath the strongest mid-level flow across
eastern KY/northeast TN. Radar data suggests at least 4-6
supercells, extending 50mi either side of the TN/KY border, moving
east-northeast toward western VA/southwest WV. However, air mass is
notably less buoyant downstream and these updrafts will encounter
increasingly hostile environment across the higher terrain and
points east. Until then, hail/wind threat will continue with these
storms.

..Darrow.. 09/24/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...

LAT...LON   37058475 38078251 37298155 36198246 36218544 37058475
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