[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed May 8 15:42:24 CDT 2024


ACUS11 KWNS 082042
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082041
KYZ000-TNZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-082215-

Mesoscale Discussion 0707
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0341 PM CDT Wed May 08 2024

Areas affected...Mid-MS/Lower OH and TN Valleys

Concerning...Tornado Watch 204...206...209...

Valid 082041Z - 082215Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 204, 206, 209 continues.

SUMMARY...Numerous supercells are ongoing and will continue to pose
threats for significant severe weather during the next several
hours. Additional/expansion of tornado watches with south-southeast
extent and replacement/extension of parts of WW 206 (which is
scheduled to expire at 22Z) should be expected through early
evening.

DISCUSSION...An outbreak of supercells is underway from the Ozark
Plateau across the Mid-MS and Lower OH into the TN Valleys. These
storms will remain capable of producing tornadoes, large to very
large hail, and damaging winds for the next several hours. Greatest
tornado threat in the next few hours should be focused within three
regimes. One along, the residual outflow that extends in a
west/east-orientation across southern MO. The second with the
long-lived supercell cluster along the tight buoyancy gradient over
far southern IL into western KY. And the third area across middle TN
into south-central KY, where the strongest low-level shear exists
near/north of the modified convective outflow from earlier today.
The southern/eastern extent of the supercell development in the TN
Valley will likely necessitate additional tornado watches this
evening.

..Grams.. 05/08/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...
LSX...

LAT...LON   37438528 36958428 35728427 34738553 34698752 34878855
            35848891 36569004 36769057 37279082 37549053 37779005
            37928822 37438528
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