[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 070942
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070942
KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-071145-

Mesoscale Discussion 0675
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0442 AM CDT Tue May 07 2024

Areas affected...Eastern Missouri...Central and Southern
Illinois...Far Western Kentucky

Concerning...Tornado Watch 194...

Valid 070942Z - 071145Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 194 continues.

SUMMARY...A wind damage and isolated tornado threat may continue for
several more hours, affecting parts of eastern Missouri into central
and southern Illinois. A new watch may need to be considered to the
east of WW 194.

DISCUSSION...The latest hi-resolution radar imagery from St. Louis,
MO shows a linear MCS moving eastward across eastern Missouri. An
unstable airmass is situated from the line east-southeastward across
south-central Illinois and into western Kentucky. In addition, the
St. Louis WSR-88D VWP has 0-6 km shear around 45 knots with 0-3 km
storm-relative helicity near 350 m2/s2. This may continue to support
a severe threat over the next few hours, as the line crosses the
Mississippi River. The severe threat may tend to develop
southeastward toward far western Kentucky, where more instability is
located. However, the threat is expected to become more isolated
with time.

..Broyles/Edwards.. 05/07/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...SGF...

LAT...LON   39158831 39838882 40338950 40319009 39969069 39299079
            37979085 37349108 36979114 36639080 36438960 36688792
            38048788 39158831
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