[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 302229
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 302229
KYZ000-TNZ000-010000-

Mesoscale Discussion 1360
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0529 PM CDT Fri Jun 30 2023

Areas affected...South-Central Kentucky and Northern/Middle
Tennessee

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely

Valid 302229Z - 010000Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...At least some severe risk in the form of damaging
winds/some hail will exist across south-central Kentucky southward
into northern/middle Tennessee. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch will
likely be needed for portions of the region.

DISCUSSION...Latest visible satellite/radar imagery shows rapid
thunderstorm development across south-central Kentucky as of 2215z.
This development is occurring along a prominent instability gradient
with robust heating (mid 90s F surface temperatures) on the
southwest flank of this convection development. Parts of this region
were influenced by an early day convective cluster, but air mass
modification continues to occur near/south of these developing
storms. Concern exists that these storms will continue
south-southeastward and pose a severe risk this evening.

..Guyer/Hart.. 06/30/2023

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...

LAT...LON   37408698 37588629 36908487 36408470 35588497 35398522
            35278617 36278685 37408698
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