[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 161734
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161733
TNZ000-KYZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-161800-

Mesoscale Discussion 0163
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1133 AM CST Thu Feb 16 2023

Areas affected...the Tennessee Valley area

Concerning...Tornado Watch 37...

Valid 161733Z - 161800Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 37 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe/isolated tornado risk is forecast to increase
somewhat, and expand east across much of the Tennessee Valley area
east of Tornado Watch 37.  A new Tornado Watch will be needed by
18Z.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a sub-severe band of convection
moving across western Tennessee and northwestern Mississippi, which
will cross the Tennessee Valley area this afternoon.

While instability remains tempered, breaks in the cloud cover will
allow some destabilization through peak heating, which is expected
to correspond to an increase in storm intensity/severe potential
over the next few hours.  With a background kinematic environment
supportive of rotating storms, a tornado watch downstream of WW 37
will be required soon.

..Goss.. 02/16/2023

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...PAH...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   36558763 37098624 36968528 36438485 35068628 33988817
            33868907 33909047 35128938 36558763
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