[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 110409
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110409
TNZ000-KYZ000-MSZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-110545-

Mesoscale Discussion 2001
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1009 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

Areas affected...Eastern Arkansas...northern Mississippi...southeast
Missouri...western Tennessee...and western Kentucky.

Concerning...Tornado Watch 552...

Valid 110409Z - 110545Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 552 continues.

SUMMARY...Watch 552 will be replaced by a new watch by 05Z. Some
additional counties may be added across southeast Arkansas and
central Mississippi.

DISCUSSION...Watch 552 expires at 05Z and will need to be replaced
by a new tornado watch. The greatest tornado threat will remain in
northern portions of this replacement watch where the forcing is
stronger. However, the shear and instability profile remains
favorable across eastern Arkansas and northern Mississippi and
therefore, tornadoes remain possible in this region, especially if
additional discrete storms can develop ahead of the main line after
08Z as some 00Z CAM guidance suggests.

..Bentley/Grams.. 12/11/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...

LAT...LON   33879328 35159153 35969037 37048933 37368838 37368769
            36688758 34858861 34798860 33468974 33239012 33139026
            33189080 33119195 33249229 33879328
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