[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jun 19 16:29:29 CDT 2019


ACUS11 KWNS 192129
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192128
KYZ000-TNZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-192330-

Mesoscale Discussion 1138
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0428 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019

Areas affected...northwest into north-central Tennessee...western
into central Kentucky

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 400...

Valid 192128Z - 192330Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 400
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
Watch 0400. Damaging wind gusts remain the primary threat, with a
few instances of marginally severe hail also possible. Storms may
propagate/develop east of the current watch, and a new WW may be
needed downstream.

DISCUSSION...Multicellular clusters/quasi-linear convective segments
are in progress across portions of northwest TN into western KY.
Some of these storms have a history of damaging wind gusts. While
the kinematic fields will likely remain weak throughout the
afternoon/evening hours, ample buoyancy is in place over and
downstream of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 0400, which will support a
continued threat for damaging wind gusts.

Convective trends will be monitored for downstream WW issuance
pending further development of convection east of the Watch, as well
as with sustenance of convection across the western KY/northwest TN
areas.

..Squitieri/Guyer.. 06/19/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...LSX...

LAT...LON   36748978 36989009 37789045 38019013 37938967 37728897
            37568821 37688793 38018750 38258654 38328579 38048524
            37458519 36758530 36508542 36168571 35948688 35828944
            36748978
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