[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 290139
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290139
TNZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-290315-

Mesoscale Discussion 0932
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0839 PM CDT Thu Jun 28 2018

Areas affected...Western and middle Tennessee...far north
Mississippi...extreme northwest Alabama

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch needed soon

Valid 290139Z - 290315Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...Severe threat continues with bowing complex in far west
Kentucky. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch will be issued soon.

DISCUSSION...A highly organized MCS continues to surge south into
far southeast Missouri into far western Kentucky, with a strong cold
pool and associated rear-inflow jet evident. Several reports of
severe wind gusts and wind damage reports have been received within
the last two hours, and given that at least a modestly buoyant
airmass remains in place (despite overturning from earlier
convection), the threat for damaging wind gusts will likely continue
for a few more hours. As such, a Severe Thunderstorm Watch will be
issued shortly.

..Squitieri/Gleason/Edwards.. 06/29/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN...MEG...

LAT...LON   35329000 35558934 35838871 36168809 36478772 36628715
            36498661 35908637 35138660 34628749 34568946 34809032
            35149052 35329000
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