[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 140936
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140935
ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-141130-

Mesoscale Discussion 0252
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0435 AM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018

Areas affected...the northern half of Mississippi and adjacent parts
of southwest Tennessee and northwest Alabama

Concerning...Tornado Watch 46...

Valid 140935Z - 141130Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 46 continues.

SUMMARY...Local risk for gusty/damaging winds and a brief tornado or
two continues across portions of Tornado Watch 46.  The need for a
future/downstream watch remains uncertain.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a slowly decaying band of
storms crossing the Mississippi River at this time.  The strongest
remaining portion of the line extends from near the
Tennessee/Mississippi border southwest across the Delta region,
where the severe/brief tornado risk is the greatest.

Storms should remain largely contained within WW 46 through its
scheduled 11Z expiration.  The need for a downstream watch remains
uncertain, though low-level moistening indicated ahead of the line
by surface obs over the past 1-2 hours may allow enough severe
threat to linger (given the adequately sheared environment) to
warrant new watch consideration.

..Goss.. 04/14/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   33628780 32908845 32559042 32589118 34029061 34868965
            35408927 35508820 34658740 33958754 33628780
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