[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 241142
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241141
TNZ000-VAZ000-KYZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-241415-

Mesoscale Discussion 0824
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0641 AM CDT Wed May 24 2017

Areas affected...Northeast Alabama...eastern Tennessee...northwest
Georgia...eastern Kentucky

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 241141Z - 241415Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Storms should continue to gradually develop through the
morning and early afternoon, with an isolated tornado, strong wind
gusts and marginal hail possible.

DISCUSSION...Storms are beginning to intensify ahead of a strong
vort max aloft. Although instability is weak, it may be sufficient
for at least isolated severe storms given cooling aloft and strong
lift with deepening surface low. Visible satellite imagery shows
extensive cloudiness is present downstream of these storms, which
may temper their severity somewhat. However, as storms lift
northeastward out of Alabama and across Tennessee and into Kentucky,
some diurnal intensification is expected. Trends will continue to be
monitored for a possible watch.

..Jewell/Guyer.. 05/24/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...

LAT...LON   33398703 33988664 34668617 35538558 36038519 36588502
            37288485 37528446 37558393 37258336 36848309 35908342
            34648431 33868505 33528553 33298611 33258688 33398703
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