[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

Tue Feb 7 07:28:54 CST 2017

ACUS11 KWNS 071328
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071328
TNZ000-KYZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-071530-

Mesoscale Discussion 0145
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0728 AM CST Tue Feb 07 2017

Areas affected...Northeast Arkansas into Tennessee

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 071328Z - 071530Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Storms may persist today into Tennessee into southern
Kentucky, with a possible damaging wind and marginal hail threat
redeveloping.

DISCUSSION...A line of storms currently extends from northeast AR
into western TN, with only a marginally wind and hail threat
currently. Soundings from around the region show strong mean wind
speeds but only weak instability ahead of these storms. During the
day, instability will gradually develop eastward across the OH and
TN valleys, which may support rejuvenated storms with mainly a wind
threat.

..Jewell/Guyer.. 02/07/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...LZK...

LAT...LON   35188743 34628924 34579059 34759119 34959119 36448850
            37108700 37028626 36628571 36158565 35798598 35188743
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