[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

Tue May 10 22:22:43 CDT 2016

ACUS11 KWNS 110322
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110322
TNZ000-110415-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0596
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1022 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF MIDDLE/EASTERN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 110322Z - 110415Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...SEVERE HAIL /AND PERHAPS LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS/ MAY
CONTINUE THROUGH LATE EVENING AND POSSIBLY EARLY IN THE OVERNIGHT. A
NEW WATCH IS LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE/EASTERN TN.

DISCUSSION...MULTIPLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS/SUPERCELLS CONTINUE TO
MOVE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN MIDDLE TN AS OF 03Z/1015 PM
CDT. SUFFICIENT FORCING FOR ASCENT/WARM ADVECTION SHOULD SUSTAIN
THESE STORMS EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS ADDITIONAL PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN MIDDLE AND EVENTUALLY EASTERN TN THROUGH LATE EVENING INTO
THE EARLY OVERNIGHT. NEAR-SURFACE INHIBITION SHOULD CONTINUE TO
INCREASE...BUT MODERATE INSTABILITY/AMPLE SHEAR THROUGH THE
CLOUD-BEARING LAYER WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SOME SUPERCELLS CAPABLE
OF HAIL/LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS.

..GUYER/CORFIDI.. 05/11/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...

LAT...LON   36118683 36538673 36498422 36298366 35478425 35658541
            36118683
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