[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Mar 31 19:43:05 CDT 2016
ACUS11 KWNS 010041
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010041
GAZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-010215-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0317
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0741 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN AL...NRN/WRN GA...SERN TN
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 72...
VALID 010041Z - 010215Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 72 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...WITH PERSISTENT SUPERCELLS APPROACHING THE EDGE OF WW 72
ALONG THE TN/AL BORDER AREA...A DOWNSTREAM WATCH ISSUANCE IS LIKELY
PRIOR TO 02Z.
DISCUSSION...00Z BMX RAOB SAMPLED AN ADEQUATE TORNADIC SUPERCELL
ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE NEAR 1000 J/KG...0-1 SRH AROUND 200 M2/S2
AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR NEAR 50 KT. THE 65 DEG F ISODROSOTHERM IS
ROUGHLY FROM NEAR HSV TO GAD AS OF 00Z. CONTINUED LOW-LEVEL WAA
SHOULD RESULT IN SURFACE-BASED BUOYANCY BEING MAINTAINED INTO AT
LEAST PARTS OF NRN GA. AS SUCH...ALL HAZARDS WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT
THE PREDOMINANT THREAT MAY BECOME DAMAGING WINDS GIVEN LIKELY
CLUSTER/MCS MODE AND INCREASINGLY ELEVATED NATURE OF CONVECTION WITH
NRN EXTENT.
..GRAMS/CORFIDI.. 04/01/2016
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...
LAT...LON 35028655 35438605 35448498 35148438 34868390 34458353
32698406 32348466 32288561 32798595 33938606 34378645
35028655
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