[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 311915
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 311914
KYZ000-TNZ000-ARZ000-312045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0308
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0214 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF FAR ERN AR...WRN/MIDDLE TN...AND WRN KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 68...

VALID 311914Z - 312045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 68
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND/LARGE HAIL RISK WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS ERN PORTIONS OF WW 68. TORNADO THREAT INCREASING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SWRN TN...WITH NEW WW LIKELY SOON IN THIS REGION.

DISCUSSION...TWO CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE POSED A DAMAGING
WIND/LARGE HAIL RISK ACROSS ERN AR INTO WRN TN...AND ACROSS WRN KY.
THE STRONGER CLUSTER IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS WRN TN WHERE
INSTABILITY IS GREATER. THE CLUSTER ACROSS WRN KY WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE EWD INTO A LESS FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT PER SFC
OBSERVATIONS AND THE 18Z SOUNDING FROM KBNA. HOWEVER...VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SOME CLEARING ACROSS CNTRL KY AND MIDDLE
TN...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME MODEST DOWNSTREAM DESTABILIZATION
THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. ACROSS SWRN TN...BACKED SFC WINDS
NEAR A RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARY COMBINED WITH STRONGER SFC HEATING
AND MORE ROBUST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT AN INCREASING
TORNADO THREAT...WITH A NEW WATCH LIKELY IN THIS REGION SOON.

..GLEASON.. 03/31/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   35199092 35409079 35598994 36078942 36948874 37038841
            37578773 37698710 37768652 37198656 36058713 35078795
            35058864 35039026 35199092
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
http://www.nashvilleweather.net

Follow us on Facebook at:
http://www.facebook.com/nashvilleweather