[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Jun 21 19:27:43 CDT 2016


ACUS11 KWNS 220027
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 220027
VAZ000-NCZ000-WVZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-220130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1009
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0727 PM CDT TUE JUN 21 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN TN...SOUTHEASTERN KY...FAR
WESTERN VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 279...

VALID 220027Z - 220130Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 279
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUST REMAINS...BUT
SHOULD FURTHER DIMINISH THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION...WHILE A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE PERSISTING
WITHIN/NEAR THE REMAINDER OF WATCH 278...A FURTHER DOWNWARD TREND IN
INTENSITY IS EXPECTED. NEW DEVELOPMENT ALONG RESIDUAL COLD POOL
BOUNDARIES MAY LOCALLY ENHANCE THE STRONG WIND THREAT...ESPECIALLY
WHERE THE BOUNDARY LAYER HAS NOT BEEN MODIFIED BY PREVIOUS
CONVECTION. HOWEVER...SOUTHWARD PROPAGATION WILL REMOVE THESE CELLS
FROM STRONGER FLOW ALOFT. ADDITIONALLY...DOWNSTREAM STRATIFORM
PRECIPITATION AND GRADUAL NOCTURNAL COOLING WILL FURTHER REDUCE
LOW-LEVEL BUOYANCY. THEREFORE...WHILE A CELL OR TWO MAY BRIEFLY
INTENSIFY TO NEAR-SEVERE LEVELS...THE OVERALL THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE
TO DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

..PICCA.. 06/22/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...OHX...

LAT...LON   37108108 36788103 36218202 35918401 36198478 37188445
            37468395 37388230 37378151 37108108
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