[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 132208
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132208
KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-140015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1266
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0508 PM CDT WED JUL 13 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...IL...SE MO AND WRN KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 379...

VALID 132208Z - 140015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 379
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS
OVER MUCH OF IL WITH THE THREAT EVENTUALLY AFFECTING PARTS OF WRN
INDIANA AND WRN KY AND POSSIBLY PARTS OF SE MO. WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL
WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. A LOCAL EXTENSION MAY BECOME NECESSARY
ACROSS PARTS OF SWRN IND AND WRN KY EARLY THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION...LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS TWO DISTINCT OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES. THE FIRST OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS LOCATED ACROSS ERN IL JUST
AHEAD OF AN EXTENSIVE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO THE ERN PART
OF WW 379. THE SECOND EXTENDS EWD ACROSS CNTRL IND WHERE ADDITIONAL
STORMS ARE ONGOING. THE BOWING LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY IN
THE CNTRL PART OF THE WATCH OVER SCNTRL IL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD
AT ABOUT 40 TO 45 KT REACHING SWRN INDIANA AND WRN KY AROUND 23Z. A
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S F
ALONG WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY AND 30 TO 40 KT OF FLOW IN THE
LOWEST 3 KM ACCORDING TO THE EVANSVILLE WSR-88D VWP...SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

FURTHER TO THE WEST...ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING IN SCNTRL
MO TO THE WEST OF THE WATCH. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN
AREA OF PRESSURE FALLS BEHIND THE WAKE DEPRESSION TO THE EAST. FOR
THIS REASON...THIS SMALL CLUSTER OF STORMS MAY CONTINUE TO PERSIST
FOR A FEW MORE HOURS REACHING THE MORE UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER SERN
MO. AN ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS CONVECTION IF IT CAN BECOME SFC-BASED LATER THIS EVENING.

..BROYLES/EDWARDS.. 07/13/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...IWX...OHX...IND...PAH...LOT...ILX...MEG...
LSX...SGF...

LAT...LON   36588785 37028709 37518681 38268682 39358678 40468673
            41098723 41158832 40808935 39698938 38718942 38238982
            38189176 38009227 37479252 36779200 36468968 36518857
            36588785

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