[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 262148
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262148
SCZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-262315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1200
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0448 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN APPALACHIANS...TN VALLEY

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 262148Z - 262315Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS MAY PERSIST
THROUGH ABOUT 00-01Z...BUT OVERALL SUSTENANCE/ORGANIZATION APPEARS
QUESTIONABLE FOR A WW ISSUANCE AT THIS POINT.

DISCUSSION...SEVERAL TSTM CLUSTERS ACROSS ERN TN...NERN AL...NRN GA
AND THE WRN CAROLINAS APPEAR TO BE AT OR NEAR PEAK INTENSITY WITH
THE PRIMARY HAZARD BEING LOCALIZED DOWNBURSTS PRODUCING TREE DAMAGE.
PER REGIONAL VWP DATA...DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WEAKENS WITH SRN EXTENT
WITH 0-6 KM VALUES OF ONLY 15-20 KT AT HTX/GSP. UPDRAFTS IN 5-9 KM
CAPPI DATA APPEAR RATHER PULSE-LIKE AND SHOULD STRUGGLE TO ORGANIZE
S OF THE 35TH PARALLEL. FARTHER N...LOOSELY-ORGANIZED CLUSTERS COULD
POSE A SOMEWHAT LONGER DURATION DAMAGING WIND RISK OVER ERN TN.

..GRAMS/GUYER.. 06/26/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...

LAT...LON   35748540 35988461 35998322 35828228 35558196 34808182
            34308219 34208316 34148590 34358680 34848655 35548565
            35748540
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