[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 032255
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032254
TNZ000-040000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0205
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0554 PM CDT FRI APR 03 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE TN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 23...

VALID 032254Z - 040000Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 23 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...MODEST TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE AND LIKELY BE
HIGHEST ACROSS MIDDLE TN OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS BEFORE A LOWERING
OF TORNADO THREAT OCCURS AS STORMS MOVE EWD INTO ERN TN.

DISCUSSION...SUBJECTIVE SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS AS A
MOIST/INSTABILITY AXIS FROM NRN AL NEWD INTO MIDDLE TN AHEAD OF A
BROKEN BAND OF ORGANIZED STORMS.  ALTHOUGH TEMPS ARE IN THE MID
70S...LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS RELATIVELY TEMPERED WITH DEWPOINTS
IN THE MID 50S E OF BNA AND UPPER 50S OVER SRN MIDDLE TN.
NONETHELESS...A STRONG AND DEEP WLY WIND PROFILE WILL SUPPORT
ORGANIZED STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELL STRUCTURES.  ISOLD DMGG WINDS
AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL APPEAR TO THE PREDOMINATE THREAT...BUT A
TORNADO OR TWO WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH ANY LONGER-LIVED AND
STRONGER CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN THE CONVECTIVE BAND.

..SMITH.. 04/03/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...

LAT...LON   35788726 36538577 36558462 36098457 35628544 35548694
            35788726


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