[BNAWX] Severe Local Storm Watch and Watch Cancellation

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Jun 7 14:45:34 CDT 2014


WWUS20 KWNS 071947
SEL2
SPC WW 071947
ARZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-080200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 252
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
  NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS
  SOUTHWEST KENTUCKY
  SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
  WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE

* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 245 PM UNTIL
  900 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF RUSSELLVILLE ARKANSAS TO 20 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
CLARKSVILLE TENNESSEE.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE INTENSIFYING IN A BAND FROM SERN MO INTO
WEST CENTRAL AR WITHIN A DEEP LAYER OF STRONGER SWLY FLOW ALOFT TO
THE SOUTH OF AN MCV MOVING EWD ACROSS MO.  THE ENVIRONMENT HAS
BECOME UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE TO 2500 J/KG AS STRONG DIABATIC HEATING
HAS OCCURRED INTO AR AND THE MID-SOUTH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
STRONGER CELLS WILL HAVE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PRIMARILY LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AS THEY MOVE EWD 25-30 KT....ALTHOUGH A
BRIEF TORNADO OVER FAR NERN AR/SERN MO AND EXTREME SWRN KY/NWRN TN
MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25030.


...WEISS

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