[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

Fri Apr 4 02:11:39 CDT 2014

ACUS11 KWNS 040713
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040712
KYZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-040815-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0278
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0212 AM CDT FRI APR 04 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF WRN KY...NWRN TN...NERN AR

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 55...

VALID 040712Z - 040815Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 55 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE SVR POTENTIAL CONTINUES ACROSS REMAINING VALID
PORTIONS OF TORNADO WATCH 55.

DISCUSSION...COMPOSITE RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES BANDS OF STRONG
CONVECTION AT THE LEADING EDGE OF AN MCS EXTENDING FROM AROUND OWB
TO E OF JBR. WHILE CONVECTIVELY INDUCED COLD POOLS HAVE ADVANCED E
OF THE ONGOING ACTIVITY IN MANY INSTANCES...THERE HAS BEEN SOME
TENDENCY FOR NEW CONVECTION TO DEVELOP TOWARD THE LEADING EDGE OF
THE COMPOSITE COLD POOL ACROSS S-CNTRL KY WHERE WARMER/MOISTER
CONDITIONS EXIST AT THE SFC. WITH THE APPROACH OF STRONGER FORCING
FOR ASCENT ACCOMPANYING AN APPROACHING MID-LEVEL TROUGH ASSUMING A
NEGATIVE TILT...SOME UPTICK IN SFC-BASED CONVECTION MAY OCCUR DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS WITH ATTENDANT DMGG WIND/TORNADO POTENTIAL.
THIS ACTIVITY MAY SPREAD E/NE...AS ADDRESSED IN RECENTLY ISSUED
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 277. THE SVR POTENTIAL WILL BE NIL BEHIND THE
MCS/S LEADING CONVECTIVE LINE.

..COHEN.. 04/04/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   35959019 36638873 37668713 37268695 36678734 36038829
            35838916 35959019

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