[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

Tue Mar 5 13:11:46 CST 2013

ACUS11 KWNS 051911
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051911
GAZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-052115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0243
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0111 PM CST TUE MAR 05 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN AL...NWRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 051911Z - 052115Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY AND
ORGANIZATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY ACROSS CNTRL AL INTO WRN
GA. DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL AND A COUPLE TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PROGRESS RAPIDLY EWD ACROSS
AL AND SRN MS...AND WILL MOVE ACROSS NWRN AND WRN GA BEFORE 00Z.
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...EXTENSIVE CLOUDS EXISTED AS OF 19Z BUT GRADUAL
THETA-E ADVECTION WAS OCCURRING WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR 70 F AND
DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE MID 50S F JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

STORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY GROW DEEPER WITH TIME...AS INSTABILITY
INCREASES AND SHEAR ACTS ON THE UPDRAFTS. A FEW EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS
MAY EVENTUALLY MATERIALIZE...WHICH MAY ENHANCE SEVERE
WIND...HAIL...AND TORNADO POTENTIAL IN LOCALIZED SWATHS.

..JEWELL/THOMPSON.. 03/05/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...BMX...HUN...MOB...

LAT...LON   32788438 32128497 31948581 31988661 32118728 32428761
            32738778 33088758 33968685 34748646 34908596 35008519
            34968445 34908373 34508372 33498400 32788438

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