[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 281117
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281116
ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-281245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1282
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0616 AM CDT FRI JUN 28 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN TN...NRN MS...NWRN AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 384...

VALID 281116Z - 281245Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 384
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS CONTINUES FOR WW 384. AREAS S
AND E OF WW 384 ARE BEING MONITORED FOR AN ADDITIONAL WW.

DISCUSSION...SMALL FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS CONTINUES TO MOVE SE AT
30 KT OVER WRN TN. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS
GUIDANCE SHOW THAT THE MCS IS CURRENTLY POSITIONED IN A SLIGHTLY
COOLER/DRIER SURFACE AIRMASS COMPARED TO AREAS W AND S.
HOWEVER...SURFACE THETA-E AND MUCAPE INCREASE OVER NRN MS/AL...WITH
ADDITIONAL DESTABILIZATION PROBABLE WITH THE ONSET OF DAYTIME
HEATING. THUS...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING OF THE
MCS AS THE COLD POOL AND ASSOCIATED GUST FRONT ADVANCE SEWD FROM WRN
TN INTO NRN MS/AL DURING THE MORNING. AREAS DOWNSTREAM FROM WW 384
ARE BEING MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WW ISSUANCE.

..GARNER.. 06/28/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   35458742 34698666 33808675 32968749 32698859 33149013
            34009047 35258987 35668855 35458742



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