[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 270457
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270456
TNZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-KYZ000-ILZ000-270630-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1262
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1156 PM CDT WED JUN 26 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF TN AND EASTERN/FAR WESTERN KY TO FAR
WESTERN VA/NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 375...

VALID 270456Z - 270630Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 375
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...A SHORT-TERM DAMAGING WIND THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS
SOUTHEAST KY WHILE SEVERE TSTM WATCH 375 CONTINUES ACROSS PORTIONS
OF TN UNTIL 08Z...WITH DAMAGING WINDS/SOME HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR A
SEEMINGLY LOW PROBABILITY OF A WATCH ISSUANCE TO THE SOUTH OF WW 375
/SUCH AS NORTHERN AL/.

DISCUSSION...AS OF 0445Z...A STRONG/SEVERE MCS CONTINUES TO RACE
SOUTHEASTWARD AT AROUND 40-45 KT ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST KY INTO
NORTHEAST TN. A 46 KT GUST WAS MEASURED AT SOMERSET KY AS OF 0415Z.
WHILE CLOUD TOPS HAVE BEGUN TO WARM PER IR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE
INTEGRITY OF THE CONVECTIVE LINE/LEADING UPLIFT HAS TENDED TO
DIMINISH...LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL NONETHELESS REMAIN POSSIBLE
DURING THE FIRST PART OF THE OVERNIGHT FROM FAR SOUTHEAST KY INTO
EASTERN TN AND PERHAPS FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF VA/NC GIVEN THE
FORWARD MOTION OF THE MCS/COLD POOL. MEANWHILE...A WESTERN FRAGMENT
OF THE MCS/COLD POOL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD
ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL TN AND PERHAPS REACH NORTHERN AL. THIS PORTION
OF THE LINE HAS ACCESS TO A GREATER RESERVOIR OF INSTABILITY /1000+
J PER KG MLCAPE/...REFLECTED AT THE SURFACE WITH TEMPERATURES
REMAINING IN THE LOWER 80S F AS OF 04Z. DAMAGING WINDS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE ON A LOCALIZED BASIS...WITH SEVERE HAIL ALSO A POSSIBILITY
ON THE WESTERN FLANK OF THIS ACTIVITY.

..GUYER.. 06/27/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   37218846 36618784 36508640 37128593 37248447 37768388
            36708263 35818264 35088544 35228775 35868852 36738904
            37218846



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