[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 102227
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102227
TNZ000-VAZ000-KYZ000-NCZ000-110000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1023
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0527 PM CDT MON JUN 10 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN KY...ERN TN...FAR SWRN VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 295...

VALID 102227Z - 110000Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 295
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE INCREASINGLY
MARGINAL/LOCALIZED AND GENERALLY CONFINED TO SLOW-MOVING CONVECTION
FROM CNTRL KY INTO ERN TN.

DISCUSSION...TSTM WHICH WAS A SUPERCELL EARLIER IN GREEN/ADAIR
COUNTIES KY HAS WEAKENED SUBSTANTIALLY IN THE PAST HALF HOUR...WHILE
MID-LEVEL REFLECTIVITY CORES HAVE ALSO SUBSIDED WITH CONVECTION
MOVING EWD FROM WW 294 INTO 295. THIS APPEARS TO BE IN RESPONSE TO
STRONGER FORCED ASCENT SHIFTING E WITH ENTRAINMENT OF INCREASED
SUBSIDENCE/DRYING BEHIND THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH AXIS. ALTHOUGH WEAK
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS EVIDENT IN LVX/MRX VWP DATA...SUFFICIENT
DEEP-LAYER FLOW STILL EXISTS FOR AN ORGANIZED STORM OR TWO CAPABLE
OF ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS/SEVERE HAIL.

..GRAMS.. 06/10/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...

LAT...LON   36058479 36458461 36818491 36698551 36768582 36978597
            37148584 37468540 37448512 37528445 37428369 36938273
            36468265 35898310 35028423 35018523 35008539 35058586
            36058479


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