[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 102205
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102205
TNZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-102330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1021
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0505 PM CDT MON JUN 10 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE TN...FAR NRN AL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 294...

VALID 102205Z - 102330Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 294 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SEVERE THREAT APPEARS RATHER LOCALIZED AND SHOULD REMAIN
SO NEAR-TERM AS PRIMARY BELT OF FORCED ASCENT SHIFTS DOWNSTREAM OF
WW 294. DOWNSTREAM WW INTO NRN AL NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.

DISCUSSION...THE HIGHER MID-LEVEL REFLECTIVITY CORES ASSOCIATED WITH
TN VALLEY CONVECTION HAVE REMAINED ACROSS CNTRL KY AND ARE ABOUT TO
CROSS WW 294 INTO WW 295 IN ERN TN. THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS WELL-DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHIFTS EWD. WITH A W/NWLY LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW REGIME IN
THE WAKE OF THE TROUGH AXIS PASSING...WARMING/SUBSIDENCE MAY PROVE
DETRIMENTAL TO SUSTAINING MORE THAN JUST A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT
NEAR-TERM ACROSS MIDDLE TN. STILL...SUFFICIENT LOW-LEVEL VEERING
WITH HEIGHT EXISTS IN THE OHX VWP FOR A RISK OF A BRIEF TORNADO OR
TWO.

..GRAMS.. 06/10/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...HUN...

LAT...LON   36458617 36488512 36108485 34868551 34818558 34548586
            34598723 34968773 35588761 36158671 36458617


This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
http://www.nashvilleweather.net

Follow us on Facebook at:
http://www.facebook.com/nashvilleweather