[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 160151
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 160151
KYZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-160645-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0039
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0751 PM CST TUE JAN 15 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...S-CNTRL KY...WRN TN...NWRN MS

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN

VALID 160151Z - 160645Z

SUMMARY...A CONTINUATION OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED WITHIN A
NARROW CORRIDOR ACROSS PARTS OF S-CNTRL KY...WRN TN...AND NRN MS.
ICE ACCUMULATION RATES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW .05 IN/HR.

DISCUSSION...A WIDESPREAD AREA OF PRECIPITATION WILL PERSIST ACROSS
THE MID-SOUTH...WITHIN AN ELONGATED WARM CONVEYOR BELT DOWNSTREAM
FROM A SHARP CNTRL CONUS TROUGH. 16/00Z REGIONAL RAOBS INDICATE THE
PRESENCE OF A SUBSTANTIAL WARM LAYER OF SUPER-FREEZING TEMPERATURES
ABOVE 900 MB...ATOP A COLD LAYER OF POST-FRONTAL AIR. SFC OBS TRENDS
SHOW LITTLE MOVEMENT IN THE SFC WET BULB ZERO LINE...WHICH WAS
POSITIONED FROM NEAR UOX-25 S CKV-LOZ AS OF 01Z. ALTHOUGH THE
HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION RATES ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO REMAIN E OF
THIS LINE...A NARROW JUXTAPOSITION OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION RATES WITH
SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES COULD RESULT IN ADDITIONAL ICE
ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH EARLY WED MORNING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PARTS OF
S-CNTRL KY.

..ROGERS.. 01/16/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   37818642 37978591 37778537 36988551 36838572 36238680
            35698764 34878882 33909022 34069049 34669021 35478933
            36148840 37298710 37818642



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