[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 6 15:38:36 CDT 2012


ACUS11 KWNS 062038
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062037
KYZ000-ILZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-062200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1904
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0337 PM CDT THU SEP 06 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MO...FAR SRN IL/WRN KY/NWRN TN/NERN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 625...

VALID 062037Z - 062200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 625
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...MCS WILL LIKELY PROGRESS E/SEWD WITH A SCATTERED DAMAGING
WIND THREAT PERSISTING. A NEW WW DOWNSTREAM OF WW 625 MAY BECOME
NECESSARY IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

DISCUSSION...MCS CENTERED IN SERN MO HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE IN
SPATIAL EXTENT AS IT OVERTAKES NEARLY STATIONARY CELLS ALONG A
LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE AXIS EXTENDING EWD INTO FAR SRN IL. GIVEN A
STRONGLY BUOYANT AIR MASS DOWNSTREAM AND COLD POOL TEMPERATURES IN
THE 60S...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR THE MCS TO ACCELERATE TO E/SE.
ALTHOUGH THIS MCS MAY BE LARGELY CONTAINED WITHIN WW 625 IN THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS...THE ATTENDANT DAMAGING WIND THREAT /REF 46 KT GUST
AT KVIH AT 2001Z/ SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH SUNSET AND WILL PROBABLY
DEVELOP E OF THE WW BOUNDS.

..GRAMS.. 09/06/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...

LAT...LON   36919201 37679158 38389145 38669153 38809079 38538954
            38268894 37958836 37618814 37388815 37008843 36548885
            36038953 36039034 36569162 36919201


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