[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 022035
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022035
OHZ000-WVZ000-VAZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-INZ000-022200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0215
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0235 PM CST FRI MAR 02 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SRN IND THRU OH...MUCH OF KY

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 57...58...

VALID 022035Z - 022200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 57...58...CONTINUES.

AN ADDITIONAL TORNADO WATCH WILL BE NEEDED EAST OF WW 58... PROBABLY
BEFORE 22Z...ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
OHIO INTO WEST VIRGINIA.

PRE-FRONTAL STORM DEVELOPMENT TO THE SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER...
WHERE SURFACE WINDS HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO VEER WITH SOME LOWERING OF
DEW POINTS...HAS BEEN A BIT SLOWER TO OCCUR THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT.
 HOWEVER...STORMS ARE IN THE PROCESS OF INCREASING IN CLOSER
PROXIMITY TO THE COLD FRONT...APPROACHING THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER...AND WILL STILL POSE A SEVERE THREAT...WHILE POSSIBLY
ORGANIZING INTO A MORE CONSOLIDATED LINE AS THE FRONT SURGES EAST OF
THE RIVER THROUGH WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

MEANWHILE...TORNADIC POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN HIGH WITH
DISCRETE SUPERCELLS AS THEY MIGRATE ACROSS THE MORE SLOWLY
NORTHEASTWARD ADVANCING WARM FRONT ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
INTO SOUTHERN OHIO BETWEEN NOW AND 22-23Z.  AS ADDITIONAL
PRE-FRONTAL DISCRETE STORMS GRADUALLY FORM AND RAPIDLY MOVE EAST
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL INTO EASTERN KENTUCKY...THEY WILL
PROGRESS INTO A LESS STRONGLY HEATED...BUT MOISTENING...BOUNDARY
LAYER.  AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES MAY ACTUALLY ENHANCE THE TORNADIC
POTENTIAL...CONTRIBUTING TO THE RISK FOR STRONG/DESTRUCTIVE
TORNADOES.

..KERR.. 03/02/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...

LAT...LON   36918747 37668691 38688571 39658492 39788396 39188134
            38358127 37388203 36578382 36468676 36918747


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