[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 270056
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270055
WVZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-270200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1618
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0755 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN OH / SWRN WV / MUCH OF KY / FAR SRN IND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 524...526...

VALID 270055Z - 270200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
524...526...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE LIMITED REMAINING SEVERE STORM RISK WILL CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO OWING LARGELY TO DIURNAL
COOLING/STABILIZATION.

DISCUSSION...MESOANALYSIS SHOWS AN ELONGATED GUST FRONT/COLD POOL
EXTENDING FROM WV WSW INTO FAR WRN KY AS A BROKEN BAND OF STORMS
WEAKENS FURTHER.  FARTHER N STRADDLING THE OH/KY
BORDER...SUBSTANTIAL CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING WILL TEND TO APPRECIABLY
EXHAUST THE REMAINING BUOYANCY AND LIMIT ANY REMAINING STRONG TO
PERHAPS SEVERE COVERAGE/INTENSITY TO THE IMMEDIATE NEAR TERM.
RATHER MODEST MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES HAVE ACTED TO HINDER STORM
INTENSITY TO A DEGREE THUS FAR...AND STABILIZING LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES OWING TO DIURNAL COOLING/STABILIZATION SHOULD LIMIT WIND
DAMAGE POTENTIAL HERE GOING FORWARD THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.
SEVERE WATCHES 524 AND 526 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE BY 02Z.

..SMITH/MEAD.. 07/27/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   36978911 37998750 39128388 39128248 37838227 37228277
            36708568 36458904 36978911


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