[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 262330
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262329
INZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-270030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1617
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0629 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SERN MO / SRN IL / FAR SWRN IND / WRN KY / NWRN
WRN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 526...530...

VALID 262329Z - 270030Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
526...530...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...A QLCS POSING A STRONG TO ISOLD SEVERE WIND GUST RISK WILL
LIKELY YIELD BOUTS OF WIND DAMAGE INVOF THE MS/OH RIVER CONFLUENCE
OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HRS.

DISCUSSION...SUBJECTIVE COMPOSITE ANALYSIS SHOWS A HOT AND VERY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS THE MID MS AND LOWER OH RIVER VALLEYS EARLY
THIS EVENING TO THE S OF AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ARCING WWD FROM WRN KY
INTO SRN IL.  A VIGOROUS QLCS IS ALIGNED NE TO SW FROM THE I-64
CORRIDOR IN SRN IL EXTENDING INTO NERN AR.  DURING THE PAST
HOUR...STORM MERGERS HAVE RESULTED IN A CONGEALING OF BROKEN
CELLULAR CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS INTO A MORE MATURE QLCS AS IT MOVES
ESEWD AT 30 KTS.  RECENTLY MEASURED GUSTS AT KPOF /36 KTS/ AND KMWA
/45 KTS/ SUGGEST WIDESPREAD STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE PROBABLE WITH
ISOLD SEVERE GUSTS LIKELY -- FAVORABLE FOR WIND DAMAGE.

..SMITH/MEAD.. 07/26/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   36549082 37248947 38128874 37998733 36748774 36128925
            36129028 36549082


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