[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 082309
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082308
WVZ000-VAZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-TNZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-090215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1440
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0608 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...KY...FAR SRN IL/SERN MO/SWRN WV/NRN MIDDLE TN

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL

VALID 082308Z - 090215Z

SUMMARY...THREAT FOR LOCALIZED WET MICROBURSTS EXISTS WITHIN AND
WEST OF WW/S 481/482...BUT PRIMARY CONCERN SHOULD REMAIN HEAVY
RAINFALL WITH ISOLATED ACCUMULATIONS EXCEEDING 2 IN/HR.

DISCUSSION...LARGE TSTM CLUSTERS WILL VERY SLOWLY PROPAGATE SWD WITH
PRIMARY CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW STRETCHING ACROSS FAR SRN IL/KY INTO
EXTREME SRN WV. WEAK W/SWLY DEEP-LAYER FLOW SAMPLED IN LVX/JKL VWP
DATA SHOULD SUPPORT CONTINUED REGENERATION OF CELLS ATOP THE OUTFLOW
AMIDST AN AMBIENT AIR MASS CHARACTERIZED BY SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF
95-100 F AND DEW POINTS AROUND 70 F. THESE SLOW-MOVING MASSES OF
TSTMS WILL LIKELY YIELD PERSISTENT HEAVY RAINFALL WITH PW VALUES
AROUND 1.75 IN.

..GRAMS.. 07/08/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...PAH...LSX...

LAT...LON   38388270 37978173 37438170 36778416 36188622 37259016
            38299017 37958801 37568584 38468384 38628331 38388270



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