[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 292236
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292236
NCZ000-TNZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-292330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0189
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0436 PM CST WED FEB 29 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR EASTERN TN/NORTH GA/WESTERN NC/WESTERN SC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 48...

VALID 292236Z - 292330Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 48 CONTINUES.

A NEW TORNADO WATCH IS BEING CONSIDERED SHORTLY FOR REMAINING
PORTIONS OF EASTERN TN AS WELL AS FAR NORTH GA INTO WESTERN
NC/PERHAPS SC. AT THE VERY LEAST...A SPATIAL EXTENSION OF TORNADO
WATCH 48 WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ACROSS EASTERN TN.

A MODESTLY BROKEN LINE OF SEVERE STORMS WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS
WILL CONTINUE TO STEADILY PROGRESS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
EASTERN THIRD OF TN OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WHILE UPDRAFT
INTENSITIES HAVE TRENDED A BIT DOWNWARD IN THE SHORT TERM AND
DOWNSTREAM BUOYANCY IN VICINITY OF THE APPALACHIANS IS WEAKER /ONLY
SEVERAL HUNDRED J PER KG SBCAPE/...A CONTINUED WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY
MOISTURE INFLUX AND PROBABLE DOWNSTREAM/PRE-LINE
DESTABILIZATION...ALONG WITH A HIGHLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT...WILL
CONTINUE TO FAVOR A HIGHLY-ORGANIZED STORM MODE INCLUDING EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS/BOWS CAPABLE OF A FEW TORNADOES AND WIND DAMAGE.
SHORT-TERM TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A NEW TORNADO WATCH.

..GUYER.. 02/29/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...GSP...MRX...FFC...

LAT...LON   35128550 35818406 36528176 36268117 34728302 34708518
            35128550



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