[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 010205
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010205
ILZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-010300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1848
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0905 PM CDT FRI AUG 31 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NE AR...WRN TN...SE MO...WRN KY...IL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 600...601...

VALID 010205Z - 010300Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 600...601...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE TORNADO THREAT ACROSS WW 600 AND WW 601 IS BECOMING
INCREASINGLY ISOLATED THIS EVENING. THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE WITH
THE SEVERE THREAT BECOMING MARGINAL LATE THIS EVENING. FOR THIS
REASON...NEW WW ISSUANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE REGION. THE
CURRENT WEATHER WATCHES WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 03Z.

DISCUSSION...SEVERAL CONVECTIVE BANDS ARE STILL ONGOING IN THE MID
MS VALLEY EXTENDING SWD ACROSS SRN IL INTO ERN AR AND WRN TN. THESE
LINES OF STORMS ARE LOCATED BETWEEN MODERATE INSTABILITY TO THE EAST
AND A 40 TO 50 KT LOW-LEVEL JET TO THE WEST. THIS ENVIRONMENT MAY
SUPPORT A SEVERE THREAT FOR ANOTHER HOUR WITH THE THREAT LINGERING
THE LONGEST ACROSS FAR ERN AR AND WRN TN WHERE THE COMBINATION OF
INSTABILITY AND LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS MAXIMIZED. AS THE CELLS MOVE INTO
AREAS EAST OF THE MS RIVER...A BRIEF TORNADO COULD OCCUR BEFORE THE
SEVERE THREAT DIMINISHES DUE TO DECREASING INSTABILITY.

..BROYLES.. 09/01/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...LOT...ILX...MEG...LSX...DVN...LZK...

LAT...LON   35429015 35459103 35889103 35899136 36219131 36229125
            36489139 36479020 36639018 36618970 37118976 37148994
            37028994 37089018 37299018 37309011 37669017 37948992
            38109016 38278986 38539020 38829015 38989042 38879052
            38899066 39279078 39719138 39759138 39739096 40289092
            40289071 40279048 40179045 40179022 40438995 40438972
            40288973 40298849 40418848 40398793 38858796 38888821
            38628825 38608869 37348870 37338892 36928882 36408883
            36428891 36228896 36228911 35978920 35908938 35578947
            35648969 35598990 35429015


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