[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 261817
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261816
PAZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-VAZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-261915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2205
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0116 PM CDT MON SEP 26 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN OH/KY/TN...WRN PA/WV/VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 261816Z - 261915Z

ISOLATED BOWING SEGMENTS AND BRIEF SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF DMGG
WINDS...HAIL...AND PERHAPS A TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON. DUE THE ISOLATED NATURE OF THE SEVERE THREAT...A WW IS
NOT ANTICIPATED.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO INCREASE IN AN AREA OF DIFFERENTIAL
HEATING IN ADVANCE OF BROADER CLOUD COVER AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. THE
COLD FRONT REMAINS FARTHER WEST ACROSS WRN OH...CNTRL KY...MIDDLE
TN...AND SWWD INTO NRN LA...DEMARCATED BY A DRIER AIR MASS
CHARACTERIZED BY DEW POINTS IN THE 50S F. WEAK DESTABILIZATION HAS
BEEN SUFFICIENT FOR A STRONGER CELL TO DEVELOP NEAR THE OH/WV
BORDER...WHERE DEEP-LAYER WINDS IN ADVANCE OF A MEANDERING UPPER LOW
CENTERED OVER NRN IL REMAIN STRONG. VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT WILL
SUPPORT BRIEF ROTATION. FARTHER S...WEAKER...MORE UNIDIRECTIONAL
WIND PROFILES COMPARED TO FARTHER N AND LIMITED SURFACE MOISTURE IN
THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE ZONE OF DIFFERENTIAL HEATING WILL
LIKELY LIMIT SUPERCELLULAR POTENTIAL. NONETHELESS...MULTICELLULAR
CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF DMGG WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION CONTINUES TO ERODE AND STRONGER UPDRAFTS CAN BE SUSTAINED
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

..HURLBUT.. 09/26/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...PBZ...RLX...CLE...MRX...JKL...

LAT...LON   41828092 41787996 40807994 39338017 36948153 36138251
            36408316 38428251 41468139 41828092



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