[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 161533
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161533
GAZ000-ALZ000-TNZ000-FLZ000-161730-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2331
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0933 AM CST WED NOV 16 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN AL...WRN GA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 887...

VALID 161533Z - 161730Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 887 CONTINUES.

A BROKEN LINE OF STORMS FROM NRN AL TO THE GULF COAST CONTINUES TO
SHOW AREAS OF ROTATION ON RADAR...AND THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS
FAVORABLE FOR A FEW TORNADOES. A NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL REPLACE
WATCH 887.

SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK LOW OVER NRN AL...REFLECTED BY A
RELATIVELY STRONG THUNDERSTORM CURRENTLY OVER MADISON COUNTY AL. W
TO SWLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BRING MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY SLOWLY NWD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF NERN AL AND INTO NRN
GA AS WELL. THUS...THE NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY EXTEND A BIT
FARTHER N THAN THE EXISTING WATCH.

OTHER CELLS ARE MORE ROBUST OVER CNTRL AND SWRN AL...WHERE GREATER
INSTABILITY IS PRESENT. THESE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO HAVE THE GREATEST
TORNADO THREAT AS THEY CONTINUE ENEWD ACROSS AL AND INTO CA...WITH A
BROAD WARM SECTOR IN PLACE WITH AMPLE DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND EFFECTIVE
SRH FOR SUPERCELLS AND A FEW TORNADOES.

..JEWELL.. 11/16/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...TAE...BMX...HUN...MOB...

LAT...LON   30348815 32168717 33358667 34798641 35038554 34858439
            34338384 32688430 31628499 30968583 30618643 30288702
            30138772 30348815


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