[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 141828
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 141827
INZ000-KYZ000-ILZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-142030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2314
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1227 PM CST MON NOV 14 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MO...SRN IL/IND...NERN AR AND WRN KY...

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 141827Z - 142030Z

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...AND
A WATCH COULD BE CONSIDERED.

SATELLITE AND RADAR SHOW AN ISOLATED STORM OVER SERN MO ON THE
DRYLINE WHERE TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN INTO THE MID 70S F.
INSTABILITY IS A BIT MARGINAL...BUT CONTINUED HEATING AND STEEPENING
OF LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES...AS WELL AS CONVERGENCE ON THE
DRYLINE...MAY RESULT IN A FEW MORE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS QUITE FAVORABLE FOR STORM ORGANIZATION INTO
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES.

CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR STORM COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY.

..JEWELL.. 11/14/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...LZK...

LAT...LON   38458917 38788808 38618731 38128726 37338758 36778830
            35849013 35719071 35889115 36379119 36819090 37499056
            38228953 38458917



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