[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 252010
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252010
KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-252145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0961
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0310 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SE MO...SRN IL...WRN KY

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 370...

VALID 252010Z - 252145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 370 CONTINUES.

THE TORNADO THREAT IS EXPECTED TO MARKEDLY INCREASE ACROSS SE
MO...FAR SRN IL...WRN KY OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS. SUPERCELLS WITH
LONG-TRACK TORNADOES ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AND MOVE NEWD ACROSS
TORNADO WATCH 370.

NUMEROUS STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY ONGOING ACROSS
THE WRN EDGE OF THE INSTABILITY AXIS FROM CNTRL MO SWD INTO NRN AR.
AHEAD OF THIS ACTIVITY ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR...MLCAPE VALUES ARE
ESTIMATED TO BE IN THE 2500 TO 4000 J/KG RANGE. AT MID-LEVELS...A 65
TO 75 KT MID-LEVEL JET IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS AR WITH THE NOSE
OF THE JET MOVING INTO WRN KY. THIS FEATURE IS ENHANCING THE LIFT
AND STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR ALREADY IN PLACE CREATING AN ENVIRONMENT
VERY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOES. IN ADDITION...A 40 TO
55 KT LOW-LEVEL JET IS LOCATED ACROSS ERN AR. AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET
MOVES NEWD INTO WRN KY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL BE
VERY FAVORABLE FOR LONG-TRACK STRONG TORNADOES. THE MOST PERSISTENT
AND DOMINANT SUPERCELLS MAY HAVE A POTENTIAL FOR VIOLENT TORNADOES.

..BROYLES.. 05/25/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...

LAT...LON   37758688 38058841 37939000 37229137 36779165 36509147
            36349090 36318951 36328877 36368781 36568726 36958675
            37758688


This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net