[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 241234
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241234
VAZ000-NCZ000-WVZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-241430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0920
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0734 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE/EASTERN TN AND SOUTHERN/EASTERN KY TO
SOUTHERN WV AND VA/NORTHERN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 352...

VALID 241234Z - 241430Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 352
CONTINUES.

SEVERE TSTM WATCH 352 CONTINUES UNTIL 18Z...WITH A RISK OF SEVERE
HAIL AND AN INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH MID/LATE
MORNING. CURRENT THINKING IS THAN AN ADDITIONAL WATCH WILL LIKELY BE
NEEDED THIS MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN WV AND VA/NORTHERN NC.

A FORWARD PROPAGATING TSTM CLUSTER/MCS CONTINUES TO STEADILY
PROGRESS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN TN/SOUTHEAST KY EARLY
THIS MORNING...AND ADDITIONAL UPSCALE GROWTH/EXPANSION OF THIS MCS
SEEMS LIKELY THIS MORNING. SEVERE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL
REMAIN A CONCERN...WITH THE DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL EXPECTED TO ONLY
BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD THIS MORNING INTO A QUICKLY
HEATING/DESTABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER. ALONG THESE LINES...A MEASURED
42 KT WIND GUST WAS RECENTLY NOTED AT MONTICELLO/EKQ IN KY.

CURRENT THINKING IS THAT AN ADDITIONAL SEVERE TSTM WATCH WILL LIKELY
BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN WV AND WESTERN/SOUTHERN VA AND
NORTHERN NC THIS MORNING...WHERE 12Z OBSERVED SOUNDINGS REFLECT
STEEP LAPSE RATES ALOFT/POTENTIAL FOR AMPLE HEATING COINCIDENT WITH
A BELT OF MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.

..GUYER.. 05/24/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LWX...RAH...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...LMK...
OHX...

LAT...LON   35478564 36728501 37458404 37798307 38037917 35977929
            35478564



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