[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 232124
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232124
KYZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MSZ000-232300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0901
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0424 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF WRN/CNTRL KY...WRN/MIDDLE TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 232124Z - 232300Z

SVR THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL INCREASE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF WRN/CNTRL KY AND WRN/MIDDLE TN. SVR
THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

QLCS MOVING E AT AROUND 40 KT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
WRN/CNTRL KY AND WRN/MIDDLE TN THROUGH THE EVENING...WHERE RESERVOIR
OF MLCAPE VALUES AOA 2000 J/KG RESIDES. AMPLE UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP
LAYER SHEAR PROFILES RESIDES ACROSS THE REGION...WITH EFFECTIVE BULK
SHEAR VALUES AROUND 40-50 KT. THIS WILL FAVOR QLCS MAINTENANCE AS
UPPER IMPULSE MOVES E OVER THE LWR OH VALLEY. A NEW DOWNSTREAM WW
WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED DURING THE NEXT HR OR TWO.

..GARNER.. 05/23/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   37328583 35358624 34838748 34978886 35318920 37208885
            37858722 37328583


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