[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 022200
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022200
KYZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-022300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0691
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0500 PM CDT MON MAY 02 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE TN AND SCNTRL KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 022200Z - 022300Z

THERE WILL BE A POSSIBILITY OF A DMGG WIND GUST...HAIL OR BRIEF
TORNADO EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS MIDDLE TN AND SCNTRL KY.
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE IS LESS THAN 20 PERCENT.

A COUPLE OF STORMS HAVE MANAGED TO BRIEFLY MOVE OFF AN OUTFLOW/FRONT
INITIATION ZONE OVER WRN MIDDLE TN AND ACHIEVE BRIEF SUPERCELL
CHARACTERISTICS.  OHX RADAR...HOWEVER...SUGGESTS THAT THESE CELLS
WILL LIKELY BECOME UNDERCUT BY THE SURGING COLD FRONT SHORTLY.
UNTIL THEN...THERE WILL BE A BRIEF OPPORTUNITY FOR A BRIEF TORNADO
AMID 125-150 M2/S2 OF 0-1KM SHEAR AND/OR DMGG WIND GUSTS.
OTHERWISE...ACTIVITY WILL PROBABLY BECOME LARGELY ELEVATED AND
PRIMARILY BECOME HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL PRODUCERS.

..RACY.. 05/02/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...HUN...

LAT...LON   36058747 37018642 37288580 37158522 36478533 35848591
            35208659 34888698 34848757 34948798 35168796 36058747

WWWW
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