[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 281135
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281134
MSZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-281300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1428
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0634 AM CDT TUE JUN 28 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN/CNTRL ARKANSAS...WRN TN...NRN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 568...

VALID 281134Z - 281300Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 568
CONTINUES.

AN ADDITIONAL WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED...BUT WW 568 MAY BE EXTENDED
LOCALLY IN AREA ACROSS THE WFO LIT CWA AND THE WFO MEG CWA.

A STRONG COLD POOL HAS FORMED WITH AN ONGOING MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE
SYSTEM NOW ACCELERATING SOUTHEASTWARD IN EXCESS OF 35 KT...ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN ARKANSAS.  THIS ACTIVITY PROBABLY WILL IMPACT THE
MEMPHIS METROPOLITAN AREA AROUND 13Z...PERHAPS LITTLE ROCK AS
WELL...BUT STRONGEST GUST FRONT WINDS MAY PASS JUST TO THE WEST OF
MEMPHIS.  SOUTH OF LITTLE ROCK...AND THE SOUTHERN TENNESSEE
BORDER...DRIER THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES AND WEAKENING DEEP LAYER
WESTERLY MEAN FLOW SEEM LIKELY TO RESULT IN WEAKENING CONVECTIVE
REGENERATION.  EVENTUALLY THE COLD POOL WILL WEAKEN AS WELL...BUT
GUSTY WINDS MAY STILL ACCOMPANY IT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI THROUGH MID MORNING.

..KERR.. 06/28/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...

LAT...LON   35909346 36119228 36469131 36419035 35858933 34788871
            34058963 33979056 34149185 34789318 35909346



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