[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 261911
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261911
TNZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-262015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1400
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0211 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...S-CNTRL/SERN MO INTO NERN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 261911Z - 262015Z

THE THREAT FOR MORE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL APPEARS TO BE
INCREASING ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA AND A WW MAY BE NECESSARY.

RECENT TRENDS IN SPRINGFIELD MO RADAR DATA INDICATE A NOTABLE
INCREASE IN STORM INTENSITY OVER WRIGHT AND DOUGLAS COUNTIES IN
S-CNTRL MO.  DOWNSTREAM AIR MASS IS VERY MOIST AND QUITE UNSTABLE
WITH MLCAPE VALUES NOW ESTIMATED TO BE APPROACHING 4000-4500 J/KG.
MOREOVER...LATEST SGF VAD DATA SHOW 4-6 KM AGL FLOW FIELD HAS
INCREASED TO 40-45 KT WHICH WOULD SUPPORT FORWARD-PROPAGATION OF
INTENSIFYING STORM CLUSTER.  AS SUCH...A WW MAY BE REQUIRED.

..MEAD.. 06/26/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...

LAT...LON   37179230 37499210 37589099 37399042 36898976 36068966
            35999060 36379126 36609179 37179230


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