[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 222043
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222043
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-222215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1359
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0343 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN IND...SWRN OH...CNTRL/WRN KY AND TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 222043Z - 222215Z

STORMS ARE BEGINNING TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE FROM SRN INDIANA INTO
WRN TN. MARGINAL HAIL AND WIND WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. A WATCH
COULD BE REQUIRED IF COVERAGE INCREASES.

RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW STORMS BEGINNING TO FORM OVER SRN
INDIANA...WITH ANOTHER CLUSTER OVER WRN TN. ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL
VEERING IS MINIMAL...DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES ARE FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS...WITH AROUND 50 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
APPEAR TO BE A THREAT WITH STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES DURING PEAK
HEATING. SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL MAY OCCUR AS WELL WITH ANY
SUPERCELLS...DESPITE POOR MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES.

..JEWELL.. 06/22/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   35498990 36918860 38708704 39848568 40058468 40038367
            39668349 37588509 36178632 35388732 35058854 35108945
            35228972 35498990


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