[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 192318
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192318
VAZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-200015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1304
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0618 PM CDT SUN JUN 19 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN KY...MIDDLE/ERN TN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 511...514...

VALID 192318Z - 200015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 511...514...CONTINUES.

WITH WW 511 SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 00Z...PORTIONS OF THIS WW MAY
NEED TO BE TEMPORALLY EXTENDED OR AN ADDITIONAL WW MAY BECOME
NECESSARY FOR PORTIONS OF ERN TN.

AS OF 2310Z...A DISCRETE SUPERCELL WAS CENTERED ACROSS MACON COUNTY
TN ALONG AN ARCING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY NEAR THE TN/KY BORDER. AIR MASS
S OF THIS BOUNDARY REMAINS QUITE MOIST WITH LOW TO MIDDLE 70S
SURFACE DEW POINTS CONTRIBUTING TO A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH
MLCAPE AOA 2500 J/KG. BUNKERS MOTION FOR RIGHT-MOVING SUPERCELLS
SHOULD FAVOR A TRACK TO THE SE ACROSS NRN MIDDLE TN. NEARLY
UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILE EVIDENT IN NASHVILLE VWP WILL CONTINUE
TO SUPPORT SPLITTING CELLS WITH LEFT-MOVERS POTENTIALLY TRACKING
ALONG THE KY/TN BORDER. IF THIS ACTIVITY HOLDS TOGETHER...EVENTUAL
PROGRESSION WOULD OCCUR INTO ERN TN/FAR ERN KY AFTER 00Z SCHEDULED
EXPIRATION OF WW 511.

..GRAMS.. 06/19/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...PAH...

LAT...LON   36718780 36888711 36888591 36868470 36818397 36648365
            36298356 35968362 35768379 35708409 35658447 35688489
            35798572 35978650 36718780



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