[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 191252
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 191251
NCZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-GAZ000-191445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1292
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0751 AM CDT SUN JUN 19 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE/ERN TN...SERN KY

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 510...

VALID 191251Z - 191445Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 510 CONTINUES.

THE LARGE BOW ECHO OVER CENTRAL KY CONTINUES TO TRACK EASTWARD AT
35-40 KNOTS...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS.
THESE STORMS ARE MOVING INTO A PRE-EXISTING PRECIPITATION SHIELD
WHICH HAS COOLED/STABILIZED THE REGION.  PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE
THAT BOW WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS EASTWARD.

OF GREATER CONCERN IS THE CONVECTION SLOWLY STRENGTHENING OVER
MIDDLE TN.  THESE STORMS ARE CURRENTLY BEHIND THE PRIMARY OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY FROM THE BOW TO THE NORTH.  HOWEVER...THESE STORMS ARE
MOVING INTO A MORE MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS...AND MAY BEGIN TO
INTENSIFY BY MID MORNING.  PORTIONS OF MIDDLE/EASTERN TN WILL BE
MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A NEW WW WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

..HART.. 06/19/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...HUN...MEG...

LAT...LON   35928833 36858623 37498568 37318471 36438360 35438336
            34918432 35188686 35368817 35928833


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