[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 170123
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170122
TNZ000-KYZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-170215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1255
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0822 PM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN/MIDDLE TN...FAR NERN MS/SWRN KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 487...

VALID 170122Z - 170215Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 487
CONTINUES.

A QLCS EXTENDED FROM WEAKLEY TO HARDEMAN COUNTY TN AS OF 0115Z.
CURRENT 35-40 KT EWD PROGRESSION WOULD TRACK THE QLCS NEAR THE ERN
EDGE OF THE WW BY 03Z. HOWEVER...THE WIND DAMAGE THREAT ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS QLCS LIKELY PEAKED 30 TO 90 MINUTES AGO /REF MEASURED
GUSTS OF 63 KT AT KMEM AT 2355Z...36 KT AT KMKL AT 0101Z/. GUST
FRONT HAS NOW SURGED OUT AROUND 10 TO 15 MI AHEAD OF THE
REFLECTIVITY GRADIENT PER MEMPHIS RADAR. DOWNSTREAM AIR MASS IS ALSO
NOT NEARLY AS UNSTABLE AS EARLIER IN FAR WRN TN WITH MEAGER BUOYANCY
SAMPLED IN THE 00Z BNA RAOB. THIS WOULD SUPPORT DEPICTIONS OF RECENT
HRRR RUNS THAT ACTIVITY WOULD RAPIDLY WEAKEN IN THE 02-04Z TIME
FRAME.

..GRAMS.. 06/17/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   34638938 35808882 36598872 36938842 36968783 36878734
            36648712 36228719 35208759 34848781 34648808 34588832
            34638938


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