[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 281726
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281725 COR
VAZ000-TNZ000-NCZ000-KYZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-281900-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0173
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1125 AM CST MON FEB 28 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AL...MIDDLE AND SERN TN...NWRN GA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 31...

VALID 281725Z - 281900Z

CORRECTED FOR WORDING

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 31 CONTINUES.

THE SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE WATCH WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT NOW ENTERING WRN TN...EXTENDING
SWWD ACROSS NERN MS. MEANWHILE...AN E-W ORIENTED
BOUNDARY...REINFORCED BY CONVECTION...EXTENDED EWD FROM THE SURFACE
LOW ACROSS MIDDLE AND ERN TN WHERE CONVECTION WAS ONGOING.

AREAS OF HEATING UPSTREAM OVER MS/AL/GA AND STRONG SWLY LOW LEVEL
FLOW WILL MAINTAIN A FLUX OF WARM AND UNSTABLE AIR NWD AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT.  STRONG STORMS NOW ENTERING NWRN AL AND SRN MIDDLE TN
ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN STRONG OR SEVERE AS THEY CONTINUE TO TREK E IN
A STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT AND WITH STRONG CONVERGENCE.

TO THE S...MUCH OF THE WARM SECTOR REMAINS CAPPED. HOWEVER...RECENT
SOUNDINGS AND OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATE THAT SOME COOLING ALOFT OF
THE WARM NOSE IS OCCURRING...AND BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON...STORMS
MAY REDEVELOP SWD INTO NRN AL AND NWRN GA WITH A DEEPENING MOIST
BOUNDARY LAYER. THUS...ANOTHER TORNADO WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER
TODAY SE OF WW 31.

..JEWELL.. 02/28/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...
MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   35038442 35018491 34968562 34418552 34278566 33628694
            33348785 33339009 34478887 35708797 35958757 35998696
            36318600 36638546 36588346 37088194 36348184 35038442



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