[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Feb 24 14:13:33 CST 2011


ACUS11 KWNS 242013
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242012
TNZ000-ALZ000-KYZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-242145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0126
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0212 PM CST THU FEB 24 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN AR...NRN MS...WRN/MIDDLE TN...WRN KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 242012Z - 242145Z

WARM FRONT IS GRADUALLY LIFTING NWD ACROSS NERN AR/SRN TN WITH
SUBSTANTIAL BREAKS IN BOUNDARY LAYER CLOUDS CONTRIBUTING TO
STEEPENING OF LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND DEEPENING CU FIELD.  LATEST
SFC ANALYSIS SUGGESTS LOW IS BEGINNING TO DEEPEN OVER NWRN AR AND
THIS FEATURE SHOULD PROGRESS ACROSS THE BOOT HEEL OF MO LATER THIS
EVENING BEFORE LIFTING INTO WRN KY.  IT APPEARS FURTHER RECOVERY IS
POSSIBLE IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF SFC LOW BUT ONGOING
CLOUDS/PRECIPITATION SHOULD LIMIT GREATER INSTABILITY FROM
DEVELOPING INTO KY.  EVEN SO...VERY STRONG SHEAR WILL ENCOURAGE
ROTATING UPDRAFTS AND SUPERCELLS CAN BE EXPECTED...ALONG WITH
ISOLATED TORNADOES ALONG/SOUTH OF RETREATING WARM FRONT.

..DARROW.. 02/24/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...

LAT...LON   35589117 36948796 35848650 34688767 33869103 35589117

WWWW
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